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Red28
16667.1
177714.8
17995.0
Blue35
121612.3
19329.1
17699.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192301030405060702835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1777
Unranked
14.80.7
7.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1216
Unranked
12.30.6
9.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1666
Unranked
7.10.4
5.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1769
Unranked
9.61.0
8.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1799
Unranked
5.00.7
6.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1932
Unranked
9.11.0
5.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End