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Red22
173011.6
11575.9
17895.1
Blue6
6775.0
14104.7
186111.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20170103040506070226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
Unranked
11.60.2
8.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1861
Unranked
11.50.9
7.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1157
Unranked
5.90.2
6.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
677
Unranked
5.00.6
5.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1789
Unranked
5.10.2
5.25.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1410
Unranked
4.70.9
3.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End