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Red43
180212.6
17829.3
137511.0
Blue5
18476.2
17699.6
13493.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20170103040506070435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1802
Unranked
12.62.0
7.59.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1769
Unranked
9.61.1
9.28.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1375
Unranked
11.02.0
6.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
1847
Unranked
6.21.1
5.24.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1782
Unranked
9.32.0
5.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1349
Unranked
3.71.1
3.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End