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Red4
155210.7
15844.1
12455.7
Blue20
18476.2
16667.1
13327.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31180104050607080420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1552
Unranked
10.72.1
15.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1332
Unranked
7.50.0
6.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1245
Unranked
5.72.1
7.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1666
Unranked
7.10.0
6.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1584
Unranked
4.12.1
6.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1847
Unranked
6.20.0
6.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End