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Red31
15665.3
17829.3
115820.5
Blue10
11907.0
161911.0
17895.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311701040506070803110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1158
Unranked
20.50.1
16.716.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
1619
Unranked
11.00.7
9.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1782
Unranked
9.30.2
8.28.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1190
Unranked
7.00.7
4.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1566
Unranked
5.30.1
4.14.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1789
Unranked
5.10.7
4.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End