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Red31
177714.8
13574.0
17699.6
Blue42
93518.4
115820.5
130310.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224404060803142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1777
Unranked
14.80.5
12.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1158
Unranked
20.50.0
16.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1769
Unranked
9.60.5
9.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
935
Unranked
18.40.1
15.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1357
Unranked
4.00.5
2.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1303
Unranked
10.20.1
8.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End