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Red60
77216.2
39523.9
6518.7
Blue81
146816.2
194215.9
168022.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544702040801001201406081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
Unranked
23.90.4
22.923.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1680
Unranked
22.01.7
22.824.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
65
Unranked
18.70.4
14.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1468
Unranked
16.21.7
11.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
772
Unranked
16.20.4
15.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1942
Unranked
15.92.0
14.116.1
Auto
Teleop
End