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Red35
14818.3
15396.9
2210.6
Blue19
174511.6
9267.1
65010.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3438102030506070803519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
18.30.0
18.418.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1745
Unranked
11.60.9
13.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22
Unranked
10.60.0
9.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
650
Unranked
10.80.9
11.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1539
Unranked
6.90.0
6.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
926
Unranked
7.11.0
11.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End