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Red95
46941.6
56323.0
183417.7
Blue5
96713.7
27913.5
71016.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80440100150955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
41.61.0
38.739.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.8
710
Unranked
16.82.2
17.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
563
Unranked
23.01.0
22.923.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
967
Unranked
13.72.2
16.314.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1834
Unranked
17.71.0
14.215.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
279
Unranked
13.52.4
15.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End