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Red0
43513.4
1926.7
3127.4
Blue27
30211.5
12519.9
151113.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35400206080100027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
Unranked
13.42.2
17.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1511
Unranked
13.20.6
15.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
312
Unranked
7.41.8
9.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
302
Unranked
11.50.6
13.813.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
192
Unranked
6.71.8
9.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1251
Unranked
9.90.6
10.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End