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Red30
56323.0
15601.8
159810.8
Blue21
2210.6
2288.2
172611.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263001020405060703021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
563
Unranked
23.00.2
20.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
1726
Unranked
11.90.4
13.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1598
Unranked
10.80.2
4.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
22
Unranked
10.60.6
7.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1560
Unranked
1.80.2
1.71.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
228
Unranked
8.20.7
8.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End