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Red49
24010.7
16029.1
3320.1
Blue0
5198.7
4061.0
4715.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37150206080100490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
20.11.0
22.924.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
47
Unranked
15.71.4
9.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
240
Unranked
10.71.2
8.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
519
Unranked
8.71.3
6.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1602
Unranked
9.11.2
3.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
406
Unranked
1.01.3
1.80.5
Auto
Teleop
End