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Red2
14890.2
4061.0
948.7
Blue16
128615.9
15097.8
4404.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82902040506070216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94
Unranked
8.70.7
6.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
1286
Unranked
15.90.9
11.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
406
Unranked
1.00.4
1.30.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
1509
Unranked
7.80.9
7.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1489
Unranked
0.20.7
2.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
440
Unranked
4.80.9
8.17.2
Auto
Teleop
End