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Red16
1843.2
90310.0
5159.9
Blue23
5198.7
948.7
128615.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2822010405060701623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
903
Unranked
10.00.6
7.97.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
1286
Unranked
15.90.0
10.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
515
Unranked
9.90.9
10.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
94
Unranked
8.70.0
5.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
184
Unranked
3.20.9
8.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
519
Unranked
8.70.0
7.06.9
Auto
Teleop
End