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Red71
4404.8
46938.5
150411.1
Blue49
5159.9
37912.2
15087.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372902060801007149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
38.52.5
21.524.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.3
379
Unranked
12.21.4
10.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1504
Unranked
11.12.9
7.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
515
Unranked
9.91.6
9.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
440
Unranked
4.82.9
7.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1508
Unranked
7.31.6
9.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End