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Red40
128615.9
15064.7
24010.7
Blue12
118810.6
19413.0
148113.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27310204060801004012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1286
Unranked
15.90.7
15.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1481
Unranked
13.81.0
15.114.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
240
Unranked
10.70.7
9.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1188
Unranked
10.60.9
11.610.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1506
Unranked
4.70.7
3.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1941
Unranked
3.01.0
4.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End