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Red80
46938.5
4715.7
3029.7
Blue40
90310.0
125010.9
128615.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4224060801008040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
38.52.7
24.026.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
1286
Unranked
15.91.2
8.39.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47
Unranked
15.72.9
8.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1250
Unranked
10.91.2
9.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
302
Unranked
9.72.7
7.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
903
Unranked
10.01.1
8.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End