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Red54
6114.9
102916.3
159212.2
Blue16
7449.1
18751.0
190216.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341804060801005416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1029
Unranked
16.31.8
11.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1902
Unranked
16.20.3
8.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
61
Unranked
14.91.8
10.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
744
Unranked
9.10.3
8.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1592
Unranked
12.21.8
10.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
1875
Unranked
1.00.3
2.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End