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Red44
16814.0
134515.9
84516.0
Blue51
134111.7
139016.7
17913.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234504060801004451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
845
Unranked
16.01.5
9.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1390
Unranked
16.70.7
17.017.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1345
Unranked
15.91.5
8.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
179
Unranked
13.40.7
15.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
168
Unranked
14.01.5
8.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1341
Unranked
11.70.7
10.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End