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Red19
18011.1
3427.0
35713.7
Blue18
84516.0
14488.2
152311.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273101020405060701918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
357
Unranked
13.70.7
7.66.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
845
Unranked
16.01.0
11.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
180
Unranked
11.10.7
11.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1523
Unranked
11.21.0
8.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
342
Unranked
7.00.7
8.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1448
Unranked
8.21.0
9.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End