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Red52
8623.6
159212.2
15579.4
Blue12
16942.5
35713.7
102916.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382602060801005212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
Unranked
23.61.3
15.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1029
Unranked
16.31.3
13.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1592
Unranked
12.21.3
12.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
357
Unranked
13.71.3
9.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1557
Unranked
9.41.3
9.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
1694
Unranked
2.51.3
4.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End