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Red61
134515.9
4577.1
23324.7
Blue73
8623.6
114414.3
16047.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413102060806173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
24.71.7
22.123.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
86
Unranked
23.63.4
16.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1345
Unranked
15.91.7
9.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1144
Unranked
14.33.4
7.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
457
Unranked
7.11.7
8.09.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1604
Unranked
7.73.4
8.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End