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Red17
16047.7
18011.1
187212.1
Blue8
139016.7
10620.5
17442.9
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36240206080100178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1872
Unranked
12.11.4
12.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1390
Unranked
16.71.4
19.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
180
Unranked
11.11.4
12.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
1744
Unranked
2.91.4
3.01.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1604
Unranked
7.71.4
10.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1062
Unranked
0.51.4
3.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End