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Red21
139016.7
152311.2
6114.9
Blue36
134515.9
7913.8
18421.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492304060801002136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1390
Unranked
16.71.8
18.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1345
Unranked
15.90.7
13.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
61
Unranked
14.91.6
16.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
79
Unranked
13.80.7
11.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1523
Unranked
11.21.8
11.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
1842
Unranked
1.70.7
1.01.7
Auto
Teleop
End