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Red30
71016.3
5912.3
15579.4
Blue7
18411.6
16047.7
4577.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24210406080100120307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
710
Unranked
16.30.5
9.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
1604
Unranked
7.71.2
7.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
59
Unranked
12.30.5
7.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
457
Unranked
7.11.2
8.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1557
Unranked
9.40.5
6.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
1841
Unranked
1.63.2
1.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End