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Red31
126113.3
141417.4
105712.0
Blue8
59011.9
168311.3
2817.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4530020406080318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
Unranked
17.40.3
17.617.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
590
Unranked
11.90.5
12.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1261
Unranked
13.30.3
13.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1683
Unranked
11.30.5
11.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1057
Unranked
12.00.3
12.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
281
Unranked
7.20.5
7.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End