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Red34
11619.6
4157.5
12428.4
Blue8
16118.2
11832.5
18481.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3415020406080348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
Unranked
19.60.2
17.017.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
1611
Unranked
8.20.8
5.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1242
Unranked
8.40.2
7.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1183
Unranked
2.50.8
6.45.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
415
Unranked
7.50.2
6.46.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1848
Unranked
1.20.8
5.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End