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Red11
4157.5
17715.9
18796.4
Blue46
104010.1
174610.9
11619.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173404060801146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
415
Unranked
7.50.6
6.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
116
Unranked
19.60.8
17.218.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1879
Unranked
6.40.6
6.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1746
Unranked
10.91.2
5.56.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1771
Unranked
5.90.6
5.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1040
Unranked
10.11.2
9.310.5
Auto
Teleop
End