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Red50
11619.6
8328.9
141417.4
Blue0
18451.9
19274.6
13798.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361401020304050607080500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
Unranked
19.60.8
18.419.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
1379
Unranked
8.81.4
8.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1414
Unranked
17.41.4
10.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
1927
Unranked
4.61.4
4.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
832
Unranked
8.91.4
4.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1845
Unranked
1.91.4
3.72.3
Auto
Teleop
End