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Red5
11026.5
168311.3
18796.4
Blue31
3411.9
174610.9
4425.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222501030405060531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
Unranked
11.31.5
8.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
34
Unranked
11.90.5
10.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1102
Unranked
6.51.5
7.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1746
Unranked
10.90.5
7.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1879
Unranked
6.41.5
6.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
442
Unranked
5.60.5
7.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End