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Red14
17715.9
18775.3
17957.8
Blue27
153316.2
18451.9
13117.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621010304050601427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1795
Unranked
7.80.2
5.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
1533
Unranked
16.20.5
12.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1771
Unranked
5.90.2
4.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1311
Unranked
7.30.5
5.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1877
Unranked
5.30.2
6.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1845
Unranked
1.90.5
2.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End