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Red49
112710.5
126113.3
105712.0
Blue17
18906.6
18481.2
104010.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31200104050604917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
Unranked
13.31.5
9.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1040
Unranked
10.10.4
9.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1057
Unranked
12.01.5
10.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1890
Unranked
6.60.4
8.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1127
Unranked
10.51.5
9.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
1848
Unranked
1.20.4
3.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End