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Red22
112710.5
18376.9
3411.9
Blue39
141417.4
13696.1
12428.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322910204050602239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
Unranked
11.90.6
12.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
1414
Unranked
17.40.6
16.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1127
Unranked
10.50.6
11.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1242
Unranked
8.40.6
7.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1837
Unranked
6.90.6
7.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1369
Unranked
6.10.7
5.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End