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Red81
126113.3
141417.4
105712.0
Blue32
153316.2
3411.9
12428.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4137102030506070808132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
Unranked
17.40.8
16.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1533
Unranked
16.20.1
16.516.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1261
Unranked
13.30.8
12.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
34
Unranked
11.90.1
12.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1057
Unranked
12.00.8
11.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1242
Unranked
8.40.1
8.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End