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Red32
59011.9
168311.3
2817.2
Blue5
173410.0
104010.1
11026.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342801020405060325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
590
Unranked
11.90.0
13.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1040
Unranked
10.10.5
11.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1683
Unranked
11.30.0
12.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1734
Unranked
10.00.5
10.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
281
Unranked
7.20.0
8.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1102
Unranked
6.50.5
7.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End