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Red65
30613.8
127621.1
17848.2
Blue6
6652.8
126210.1
152315.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3325020406080656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1276
Unranked
21.12.2
16.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1523
Unranked
15.41.2
11.310.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
306
Unranked
13.81.6
12.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1262
Unranked
10.11.5
10.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1784
Unranked
8.22.7
3.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
665
Unranked
2.81.2
4.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End