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Red60
34129.0
4816.9
5198.5
Blue40
171915.8
58116.4
46212.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364302060806040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
Unranked
29.01.2
22.723.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
581
Unranked
16.40.1
18.618.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
519
Unranked
8.51.2
9.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
1719
Unranked
15.80.1
11.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
481
Unranked
6.91.2
5.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
462
Unranked
12.50.1
12.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End