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Red11
9714.7
18689.1
15069.9
Blue45
9044.3
11822.5
6652.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232901020405060701145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
Unranked
9.90.7
7.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
118
Unranked
22.50.9
19.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
Unranked
9.10.7
11.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
904
Unranked
4.30.8
5.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
971
Unranked
4.70.7
5.44.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
665
Unranked
2.80.9
3.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End