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Red46
38416.5
13664.8
36530.4
Blue9
29121.4
14824.6
140314.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53470100150469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
30.40.3
27.026.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
291
Unranked
21.41.9
24.622.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
384
Unranked
16.50.4
18.317.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1403
Unranked
14.21.9
15.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1366
Unranked
4.80.4
6.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1482
Unranked
4.62.4
7.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End