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Red32
173013.7
17718.9
54713.9
Blue19
124121.6
159216.5
6652.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473602060801001201403219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
18.90.7
17.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1241
Unranked
21.60.9
18.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
547
Unranked
13.90.7
12.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1592
Unranked
16.50.9
15.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1730
Unranked
13.70.7
15.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
665
Unranked
2.80.9
4.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End