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Red4
30613.8
14824.6
139014.2
Blue52
11822.5
7419.7
6376.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3446020406080100452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1390
Unranked
14.21.6
16.615.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
118
Unranked
22.50.4
20.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
306
Unranked
13.81.6
13.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
74
Unranked
19.70.4
19.920.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1482
Unranked
4.61.8
5.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
637
Unranked
6.00.4
4.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End