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Red17
18148.5
18689.1
154714.6
Blue25
6148.3
4443.4
53711.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332304060801725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1547
Unranked
14.60.7
14.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
537
Unranked
11.60.1
11.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
Unranked
9.10.7
10.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
614
Unranked
8.30.1
8.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1814
Unranked
8.50.8
6.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
444
Unranked
3.40.1
4.34.3
Auto
Teleop
End