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Red21
19228.2
54713.9
18148.5
Blue52
29121.4
5198.5
15510.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234604060802152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
547
Unranked
13.90.3
11.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
291
Unranked
21.40.4
22.422.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1814
Unranked
8.50.3
5.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
155
Unranked
10.40.4
11.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1922
Unranked
8.20.3
8.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
519
Unranked
8.50.4
9.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End