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Red48
17848.2
18148.5
110316.8
Blue13
6376.0
131910.6
58116.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293902060801004813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1103
Unranked
16.80.9
17.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
581
Unranked
16.41.2
18.617.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1814
Unranked
8.50.9
5.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1319
Unranked
10.61.2
12.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1784
Unranked
8.21.5
7.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
637
Unranked
6.01.2
6.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End