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Red43
16807.4
3322.9
111431.3
Blue8
159613.5
27913.3
57311.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5228020406080100120140438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
31.30.5
18.317.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
1596
Unranked
13.51.9
12.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33
Unranked
22.90.5
17.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
279
Unranked
13.31.9
10.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1680
Unranked
7.40.5
12.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
573
Unranked
11.21.9
8.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End