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Red6
15023.5
16807.4
17673.7
Blue69
11889.1
91010.1
150328.4
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25360206080669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1680
Unranked
7.41.7
12.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.9
1503
Unranked
28.42.9
18.120.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1767
Unranked
3.71.7
5.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
910
Unranked
10.12.9
10.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1502
Unranked
3.51.7
8.46.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
1188
Unranked
9.12.9
6.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End