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Red33
16847.3
45120.9
18565.1
Blue4
9037.9
2459.1
2018.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24320102040506070334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
451
Unranked
20.90.7
12.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
245
Unranked
9.12.3
14.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1684
Unranked
7.30.7
6.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
201
Unranked
8.52.3
8.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1856
Unranked
5.10.7
6.16.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
903
Unranked
7.92.3
9.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End