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Red16
28014.8
17188.8
18565.1
Blue23
101511.4
17673.7
3979.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2225010304050601623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
Unranked
14.80.5
10.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1015
Unranked
11.40.1
7.97.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1718
Unranked
8.84.0
9.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
397
Unranked
9.10.1
10.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1856
Unranked
5.10.4
5.15.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1767
Unranked
3.72.2
3.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End