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Red9
89412.6
4482.6
16807.4
Blue42
57.4
101511.4
2018.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2221010304050607080942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
Unranked
12.61.1
10.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1015
Unranked
11.41.7
8.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1680
Unranked
7.41.1
9.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
201
Unranked
8.51.7
5.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
448
Unranked
2.61.1
1.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
5
Unranked
7.41.7
6.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End