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Red5
4482.6
17188.8
9049.7
Blue35
57311.2
18962.7
12545.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1514010203040535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
Unranked
9.70.8
9.89.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
573
Unranked
11.21.7
7.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1718
Unranked
8.80.8
4.53.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1254
Unranked
5.91.7
5.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
448
Unranked
2.60.8
0.8-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1896
Unranked
2.71.7
0.72.5
Auto
Teleop
End